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Science

Research and discovery, with findings kept separate from interpretation.

Wet snow melting on a residential street under grey overcast lightSCIENCE · 41 days ago

Does El Niño mean more snow? Seasonal outlooks cannot answer that, and here is why

The maps people check for a snow answer measure precipitation, which combines rain and melted snow into one number. They cannot separate the two. That is a built-in limitation of the product, not a gap someone forgot to fill.

Verified · 5 sources · 4 min read
Warm shallow ocean water meeting deeper blue along an open equatorial horizonSCIENCE · 41 days ago

What is El Niño? A defined temperature threshold in one box of the Pacific

Not a storm, not a season, not a forecast. El Niño is the warm phase of a Pacific pattern, declared when sea-surface temperature in a specific region runs at least 0.5 °C above average and holds there. It is running now, at +1.2 °C.

Verified · 4 sources · 4 min read
Sunlight scattering across the surface of an open equatorial oceanSCIENCE · 41 days ago

El Niño vs La Niña: the difference, the thresholds, and what neither one predicts

They are the warm and cool phases of one Pacific pattern, separated by a defined temperature threshold. The Pacific is in El Niño now, at +1.2 °C. What that shifts is the odds for a season — not the weather on any given day.

Verified · 6 sources · 5 min read
A bald eagle perched on a pine branch above a mountain lake in early lightSCIENCE · 44 days ago

Big Bear eagle Jackie's anemia has worsened, and vets still do not know what is causing it

Bloodwork on 3 August put her packed cell volume at 13 per cent, down since the previous update. She was found with no injuries from the attack that led to her rescue — the anemia and kidney inflammation are unexplained.

Developing · 5 sources · 3 min read
A high wide view of an arid desert plateau in low sunSCIENCE · 45 days ago

AI flagged 1,309 possible Nazca figures. Six months of walking the desert confirmed 303 of them

The machine narrowed where to look; people on the ground decided what was real. Around a quarter of the candidates were checked, and the confirmed figures split into two kinds with different audiences.

Verified · 5 sources · 2 min read
Rugged island cliffs above the Pacific in soft overcast lightSCIENCE · 45 days ago

Bald eagles fledged on San Miguel Island for the first time since the 1950s

Fourteen breeding pairs hatched at least sixteen chicks across Channel Islands National Park this season. The birds vanished from the islands after DDT; the effort to bring them back began in 1980.

Verified · 5 sources · 2 min read
Snow-covered mountain ridges under heavy grey cloud in low winter lightSCIENCE · 46 days ago

Will it snow this winter? NOAA's outlook cannot say — here is what it can

NOAA's seasonal outlook does not forecast snowfall, and the reason is built into how it measures precipitation. It gives El Nino a 97 per cent chance of lasting into spring and tilts the odds wet in the south, dry in the northwest.

Verified · 5 sources · 5 min read